THE Dust Arrival

THE Dust Arrival

It is going to get real folks

Solar Storm Forcing, THE Dust Arrival, Mars Water | S0 News Dec.16.2021(5 min)

Today’s Featured Links:

Parker Paper: https://journals.aps.org/prl/abstract… Orbiter Paper: https://www.aanda.org/articles/aa/ful… Mars Water: https://www.esa.int/Science_Explorati… SWARM Geomagnetic Storms: https://www.esa.int/Applications/Obse… Cracks in The Ice: https://www.nature.com/articles/d4158… Little Ice Age Triggered By Ice Melt, Triggered by the Sun: https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/s…

[World Magnetic Model] State Of The Geomagnetic Field, December 2021 Update – Extinction Event?(10 min)

STATE OF THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD December 2021 Update https://bit.ly/3m9Tx6u Wandering of the Geomagnetic poles http://bit.ly/2qMUmZv Historical Magnetic Declination https://bit.ly/30wBWOv Magnetic Poles 1900-2025 https://bit.ly/3DXfEmF The Role of Geomagnetic Field Intensity in Late Quaternary Evolution of Humans and Large Mammals http://bit.ly/2BJgohz The Reversing Magnetic Field of Planet Earth https://bit.ly/2YCgMLg

Solar Activity Is Getting Interesting! – Sunspot Size Explained – X28 Largest Flare Ever Recorded

And just like that, solar activity is getting interesting again. A number of fairly large sunspot regions are currently located in the southeast quadrant, including AR 2907. This region has a Beta-Gamma-Delta-Delta magnetic configuration and produced a number of minor C-Class flares. The largest of these was a C8.1 at 10:44 UTC (Dec 15). There will be an increased chance for an isolated moderate M-Flare during the next 24 hours. https://www.solarham.net/ What is Telemetry? https://medicompinc.com/what-is-telem… GOES X-Ray Flux https://dpa-images.s3.amazonaws.com/g… DSCOVR Solar Wind https://d3k7gxzd368ul3.cloudfront.net… GOES Magnetometer https://dpa-images.s3.amazonaws.com/g… ISWA Sygnet Streamer https://go.nasa.gov/2R8QL1h Oct 22, 2014 sunspots https://bit.ly/3GMT3uT Mar 29, 2001 sunspots https://bit.ly/3GMY5aV Nov 4. 2003 X28 sunspots https://bit.ly/3GL1Pts The biggest solar X-ray flare ever is classified as X28 https://bit.ly/3pZ8BFg Geomagnetic Disturbances and Cardiovascular Mortality Risk https://bit.ly/2IxclvR Geomagnetic Storms and their Influence on the Human Brain Functional State https://bit.ly/326Sop2 The Impact of Space Weather on Human Health https://bit.ly/3q3sDOK Geomagnetic Storms And Human Health Graphic https://bit.ly/3sahv5m

 

Subglacial Meltwater

Subglacial Meltwater

Grimsvötn volcano (Iceland): accelerating rates of subsidence increase likelihood of glacial flood and perhaps an eruption https://bit.ly/3xCy1vz Grimsvötn volcano (Iceland): likely subglacial meltwater flood could trigger eruption https://bit.ly/3lkrkcS Grimsvötn Flood Map https://bit.ly/3d2ZIEp Latest quakes near Grímsvötn volcano https://bit.ly/3D2Z2cP Iliwerung volcano (Lomblen Island, Indonesia): submarine eruption likely https://bit.ly/3o62IXc Iliwerung volcano https://bit.ly/3D4Tlex https://volcano.si.edu/volcano.cfm?vn…

Grimsvötn Volcano: Subglacial Meltwater Flood Could Trigger Eruption – Iliwerung Volcano Eruption (6 min)

Solar Filament Eruption, Cold Climate Bomb | S0 News Nov.29.2021 (5 min)

Today’s Featured Links:

Solar EUV Thermosphere: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.c… Flares and D Region: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.c… They Still Thinks Its All Our Fault: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.c… Cold Fresh Water Coming: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.c… Equatorial Ionization Anomaly: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science…

Multiple Flares

Multiple Flares

Multiple flares incoming and important confirmation of Space Weather. This is what the European Space Agency (ESA) writes, “Several planned ESA missions that are set to further increase global understanding of the changing environment will also be tackled at the conference

TRUTHS
TRUTHS

These include the UK-led TRUTHS mission, which will collect measurements of incoming solar radiation and solar radiation reflected from Earth’s surface, traced to an absolute metrological reference. This will be used to improve climate datasets and calibrate observations from other satellites.

Notice how it is called the Truths mission.  Actions speak louder than words…..

Long Solar Flare, Multiple CMEs Coming to Earth | S0 News Nov.2.2021 (5 min)

Today’s Featured Links:

Inflation Models Crushed: https://www6.slac.stanford.edu/news/2… ESA Climate Article: https://www.esa.int/Applications/Obse… GEDI: https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/4950 2021 Hurricanes: https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/det…

Bouncing Quakes

Bouncing Quakes

There have been four significant quakes this week with the seismic energy “bouncing” across the world.  at about 28 minutes Dutch notes the hot-spots.  Could this be the reason for the spate of fires?  Increased solar activity brings increased electromagnetic activity and with that comes earthquakes.

7/23/2021 — Large M6.7 Earthquakes bouncing back and forth across Pacific!

 Dutch is pretty good at his earthquake predictions after years of watching quakes he has honed the methodology.  Dutch bases his analysis on VLF wave propagation in the plate boundary zones.  He understands the Deep earthquakes as the terminus ad quo of the much shallower quakes.  The Suspicious Observers (SO) also have and earthquake prediction methodology which is becoming increasingly accurate and refined.  It would be nice to combine both methods to work in unison.   Ben bases his method on blot echoes which he describes in his book Weatherman’s Guide to the Sun (3rdEdition 2020 p.216) as follows:

Key Points:

1)  Global magnetic fields, storm systems, current flows and large atmospheric structures are similar on the Earth and sun.

2)  Strong Earthspot lows (like hurricanes) demonstrate a remarkably similar structure in the visible clouds to what we see in sunspots.

3)  The small and large-scale electromagnetic emissions of the storm systems are similar in pattern and energy range on both Earth and sun.

4)  When sunspots get active, similar storms get active on a planet electromagnetically connected to the sun (Chapter 5). This is more than temporal coincidence, it is electromagnetically crying out to be noticed.

Some of the energy coming down in the GEC (high pressure) goes into the ground where it can trigger an earthquake or a volcano eruption immediately, or it can build up charge and then release later as an earthquake or volcano eruption. If a thunderstorm is a GEC electric storm in the atmosphere, there is certainly a GEC electric storm component to earthquakes. The science behind this claim and its proof by application follow in this section.

The electrical signals of the global electric circuit are used to determine when/where this energy might interact with a fault zone. In the middle and early part of the last decade, there was a developing precedent for this pursuit in published work looking at pressure, storms, electrical changes in the atmosphere, and thermal radiation escape before large earthquakes (Lu et al. 2016; Oyama et al. 2016; Kong et al. 2015; Chen et al. 2010; Jing et al. 2010).

However, whereas each study was focusing retroactively on one signal, like GPS disruptions or electron content changes in the atmosphere, analyzed after an earthquake had already occurred, we sought to combine the total body of work to proactively predict the location of large earthquakes. In the time since our real-world forecasting began there has been confident scientific evidence that the fault structure and activity play a significant role in the GEC, lightning and Earth’s pulse-electromagnetic field structure (Kappler et al. 2019; Argunov 2017; Malyshkov et al. 2017; Parrot 2017; Straser 2016) and that an electromagnetic pre-earthquake process helps release excess Radon and other ionized gases from the ground prior to large events (Tareen et al. 2019; Zoran et al. 2019; Karastathis et al. 2017).

Here are some notes to help understand the current state of the field. The electromagnetic pre-earthquake process shows itself in various ways:

1)  A number of studies confirm outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) anomalies (including thosetied directly to land surface temperature anomalies and surface latent heat flux) in relation to pre-seismic processes at the eventual epicenter. It is notable that land surface temperature/OLR anomalies require an extended period of high pressure and sunlight, which is the opposite (GEC) Earthspot from the powerful storms, and which causes a build-up of charge.(Hazra et al. 2020; Akhoondzadeh et al. 2019; Jing et al. 2019; Lin et al. 2019; Pavlidou et al. 2019; Zoran et al. 2019;Akhoondzadeh et al. 2018; Barkat et al. 2018; Chakraborty et al. 2018; Huang et al. 2018; Mahmood et al. 2018;Ouzounov et al. 2018; Velichkova and Kilifarska 2018; Zhang et al. 2018; Bellaoui et al. 2017; Bhardwaj et al. 2017;Freund et al. 2017; Jiao et al. 2017; Joshi et al. 2017; Mahmood et al. 2017; Venkatanathan et al. 2017; Xiong and Shen2017; Yan et al. 2017; Zhou et al. 2017; Zoran et al. 2017).

2)  GEC and ionospheric/magnetosphere pre-earthquake anomalies have been confirmed, including those involving ionospheric critical frequency, total electron content (TEC), GPS disruptions, atmospheric ionization “earthquake lights” and various electromagnetic phenomena from the ground to the top of the atmosphere. (Sekertekin et al. 2020; Shah et al. 2020; Sharma et al. 2020; Marchetti et al. 2020; Ahmad et al. 2019; Akhoondzadeh et al. 2019; De Santis et al. 2019; Lin et al. 2019; Sotomayor-Beltran 2019; Zhu et al. 2019 [1]; Devi et al. 2018; Karaboga et al. 2018; Namgaladze et al. 2018; Ouzounov et al. 2018; Perrone et al. 2018; Enomoto et al. 2017; Freund et al. 2017; Iwata and Umeno 2017; Jansky and Pasko 2017; Kelley et al. 2017; Kim et al. 2017; Krankowski et al. 2017; Ouzounov et al. 2017; Parrot 2017; Sharma et al. 2017; Sheshpari 2017; Xu et al. 2017).

3)  Magnetic pulses/anomalies in the VHF/ULF/VLF/ELF ranges have been found to appear before large earthquakes at or above the epicenters. (Sharma et al. 2020; Straser et al. 2019; Venegas-Aravena et al. 2019; Phanikumar et al. 2018; Potirakis et al. 2018;Takla et al. 2018; Cataldi et al. 2017; De Santis et al. 2017; Heraud et al. 2017; Naidu et al. 2017; Shen et al. 2017).

4)  The most powerful Earthspots (hurricanes, typhoons, cyclones, tropical & extratropical storms) have been associated with electromagnetic processes before large earthquakes.(Parrot 2017; Lin 2013; Liu et al. 2009).

5)  Recently, abnormal gravity waves in the stratosphere have been detected prior to large earthquakes. Other atmospheric parameters like pressure, wind speed and temperature are also seen to fluctuate before seismic events in the same way as electromagnetic forcing from solar activity.(Hazra et al. 2020; Yang et al. 2019 [2]).

Many of the 2019 and 2020 studies on electromagnetic anomalies preceding earthquakes listed in this section used data from this satellite.




Data for blot echoes earthquake prediction comes from here:

It was our goal to combine the various factors and engage a real-world forecasting model from the total volume of published work. The studies were easy to find, but difficult to track, and most data (critical frequency, TEC, GPS data, and similar ionospheric data points) is not available in real-time, or at least in any processed form that would be useful. Even in the exceptions, most are not able to deliver localized information, and there are various terrestrial phenomena that can produce similar signals (like cyclones, volcanoes, geomagnetic storms) to those before earthquakes- which leads to many false positive alerts.

Luckily, there is one way to monitor every super-lithospheric (above ground) risk factor at the exact same time, and this data is not only readily available in usable format, but there are active forecasts of them at all times- Earthspots, the pressure cells of Earth. At these locations we know the GEC is strongest, connecting all vertical sectors of the atmosphere, telling us where any excess current is most likely to be found. Just like sunspots and the bright umbral magnetic fields on the Sun, Earthspots tell us where the current is flowing in Earth’s atmosphere, and potentially the ground as well.

The atmospheric half of our location model uses Earthspots, with the only addition being recognized OLR anomalies from the papers listed earlier. The second half of the location model is sub-lithospheric (below ground). After studying the foreshock patterns to large earthquakes, it was determined (by community member Scott Windbiel) that deep earthquake foreshocks are, in general, present far more often before large earthquakes than shallow foreshocks. Since that time, we have further constrained the magnitude and depth requirements for many different regions across the globe. We call these deep events “Blot Echoes” to honor Claude Blot, who long-ago envisioned using deep earthquakes to forecast volcanoes.

The combination of these sub-lithospheric and atmospheric factors is used by our model every day to determine places where large earthquakes are more likely to occur. The 10 - 15% of Earth’s fault system most at risk on a given day in our model is based on the regions that are showing the strongest signals above and below the ground.

 

Here follow some short SO videos (without the notes click view on YT if you want the articles)

Sun Erupts, Magnetic Pole Shift meets Climate Science | S0 News July.24.2021

Here We Go Again, EFSQ, Mars Quakes | S0 News July.23.2021

 

Magnetic Health Effects, Sunspot Cycle Activated, Electroquakes, | S0 News July.21.2021

 

Here is an interesting video by Sky Watch. That shows a decrease in Cosmic Radiation as the Solar output increases.  This suggests that our sun is becoming more active (not less?) and giving more solar radiation and blocking the cosmic radiation somewhat. This S.O. video from April 2021 explains the Forbush phenomenon (paste in your browser: https://youtu.be/8mRFPY1WTwk?t=131). Cosmic rays are modulated by solar activity but the increased solar activity comes with its own charged particles.  It is complicated.   I do not think it is fully understood. Think of it this way…our solar system is encountering the galactic sheet which effects our star, which in turn will effect our electromagnetic circuit. I think of it as one huge thing pushing and distorting another big thing, which in turn pushes our little rock. We are fortunate that the big eruptions on the sun were not earth facing.  Is there a reason for this?  Is something triggering it? (the approaching galactic shock wave?)   In any case there is still so much that we just do not know.  Interesting times indeed.

Huge Explosion on the Far Side of the Sun is Felt on Earth