The day the music died (JFK assassinated) and now the Levee is broke as well as the banks. Bye, Bye American Pie. The Jester stole the crown. Subverted while we sing dirges in the dark.
Jack be quick…but Jack is dead… and Satan is laughing…..
Don McLean – American Pie (Lyrics)
This will be the day that I die…
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11/11/2022 — Very Large M7.3 (M7.6) Earthquake + Tsunami strikes AS WARNED FOR!!!!!! (1:04)
Two days ago, on November 9, 2022 ... a deep M7.0 struck below the West Pacific--- this prompted me to issue a warning for an extremely large shallower earthquake to strike "next to" the original event. Today, November 11, 2022 -- two days later -- the expected shallow larger M7.3 - M7.6 earthquake struck about 500 miles East of the original deep event. Here is the warning video from Nov 9 : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GvoVf... -- read the description of this video from Nov 9, to see the other areas warned, such as Okinawa, and South America. This fulfills the first part of the new forecast on day 2 of the 10-14 day extended watch!
That was an interesting video and the mention of Paul Cook has me intrigued to investigate his channel (https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCTeaCfGLItytCMsU1DQ7Wsg) and after what Dutch said at about 36 min I will take a closer look at his previous video. Here are some my speculations on the activity in the Tonga trench:
Speculating. Energy transfers around plate boundaries but it must also transfer across plates. The Tonga trench had another big quake near the Hunga Tonga volcanic mega blast (V). A straight line connects plate ends (1-5) and the antipode (A) of Jerusalem (J). Coincidences? pic.twitter.com/DAtEWDl0ZU
CO-ROTATING INTERACTION REGION: NOAA forecasters say that a CIR (co-rotating interaction region) could hit Earth’s magnetic field on Sept. 17th. CIRs are transition zones between slow- and fast-moving solar wind streams. Solar wind plasma piles up in these regions, producing shock-like structures that can mimic CMEs and spark bright Arctic auroras. Solar flare alerts:SMS Text.
THE STARLINK INCIDENT: A minor geomagnetic storm is supposed to be minor. That’s why even experts were surprised on Feb. 4, 2022, when dozens of Starlink satellites started falling out of the sky. A weak CME had hit Earth’s magnetic field, and the resulting G1-class (minor) storm was bringing them down:
Above: A Starlink satellite breaks up over Puerto Rico on Feb. 7, 2022. Credit: The Sociedad de Astronomia del Caribe
How could this happen? A new paper published in the research journal Space Weather provides the answer.
“Although it was only ‘minor,’ the storm pumped almost 1200 gigawatts of energy into Earth’s atmosphere,” explains lead author Tong Dang of the University of Science and Technology of China. “This extra energy heated Earth’s upper atmosphere and sharply increased aerodynamic drag on the satellites.”
SpaceX launched the satellites from Cape Canaveral on Feb. 3, 2022. Forty-nine (49) Starlinks were crowded inside the Falcon 9 rocket; less than a quarter would survive.
The Starlink launch was sandwiched between two minor geomagnetic storms (right) possibly caused by an Earth-directed CME that left the sun on Jan. 30th (left) pic.twitter.com/ZhI2LesRND
As was SpaceX’s practice at the time, the satellites were deployed at an altitude of 210 km–their first stop en route to an operational altitude near 600 km. In the satellite business, 210 km is considered to be low, barely above the atmosphere. SpaceX starts there in case any satellite malfunctions after launch. From 210 km, a “bad sat” can be easily de-orbited.
A little too easily, as it turns out.
Using a physics-based computer model named “TIEGCM,” Dang and colleagues simulated conditions during the storm. As geomagnetic energy heated Earth’s atmosphere, the air density at 210 km increased globally by 20% with “hot spots” as high as 60%. This movie shows what happened:
Starlink dodged the worst spots. “The satellites did not hit any of the 60% regions,” says Dang. “But that didn’t save them.” The weaker 20% enhancements were enough to bring down 38 out of 49 satellites.
To prevent a repeat, SpaceX has started launching to 320 km instead of 210 km. Earth’s atmosphere has to reach that much higher to drag the satellites back during a geomagnetic storm. Since the change, more than 1200 additional Starlink satellites have been launched on 24 rockets without incident.
There’s still danger, though. “Air density at 320 km is an order of magnitude less (compared to 210 km), but it’s not completely safe,” cautions Dang’s co-author Jiuhou Lei, also from the University of Science and Technology of China. “During an extreme geomagnetic storm, density could increase from 200% to 800% even at these higher altitudes.”
Extreme storms may be in the offing. Young Solar Cycle 25 is just getting started. The profusion of minor storms we are observing today will intensify in the years ahead especially as we approach Solar Max around 2025.
Recent Findings From Iceland’s Fagradalsfjall Eruptions Change What We Know About How Volcanoes Work (11 min)