Flares, quakes and storms

Flares,quakes and storms

Geomagnetic Storm Forecast – Expansive Winter Storm & Bitter Arctic Cold In The Forecast Next Week (10 min)

X Flare & Solar Storm Prediction | S0 News Feb.18.2023 (3 min)

2/18/2023 — Seismic Spread — New Forecast Earthquake activity in Europe, Americas, Asia, Pacific (1:25)

AD 536: The Sun Dimmed And The World Shivered, Leading To Famine, Plague And The Fall Of Empires.(56 min)

 

 

 

Volcanoes and Catastrophes

Volcanoes and Catastrophes

Oregon Landslide Cuts Off Highway – Massive Snow Totals In The West – Drought Reduction – Santorini (16 min)

Santorini complex: The volcano has erupted nine times in the previous two thousand years with the last blast occurring in 1950. It emits 99% pure CO2.

This is one of many on the planet that naturally spew out CO2

 

This is doom mongering. There will be no global Tsunami. Magnetic excursion occurs regularly. There will be increased radiation, seismic and volcanic activity. The sun will flare to throw of the accumulated dust etc brought by the galactic sheet. There will be regional tsunamis and probably arc discharges (electric). Our ancestors survived this many times. Civilization will not survive this but many people will.

Solar Watch, Big CME, More Air Trouble, Magnetic Sense | S0 News Jan.12.2023 (4 min)

I know Brand is a Masonic shill but it is important to hear what Hancock has to say.

Huge Sunspots

Huge Sunspots

X-Class Flare, Huge Sunspots, Geomagnetic Field | S0 News Oct.3.2022 (3 min)

16 Day Forecast The Next Hurricane !! (55 min)

Mike is still battling cancer and improving so I think it is apt (when talking about the coming trouble) that he exhorts people not be afraid and says (at about 38 min) that it is in God’s hands not ours.  If you want to skip the US weather the UK/EU and Oz/NZ are 29 minutes onward.

 

Near X Class Solar Flare

Near X Class Solar Flare

Near X Class Solar Flare, Pole Shift Claims Another Effect | S0 News Sep.16.2022

From https://www.spaceweather.com

CO-ROTATING INTERACTION REGION: NOAA forecasters say that a CIR (co-rotating interaction region) could hit Earth’s magnetic field on Sept. 17th. CIRs are transition zones between slow- and fast-moving solar wind streams. Solar wind plasma piles up in these regions, producing shock-like structures that can mimic CMEs and spark bright Arctic auroras. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text.

THE STARLINK INCIDENT: A minor geomagnetic storm is supposed to be minor. That’s why even experts were surprised on Feb. 4, 2022, when dozens of Starlink satellites started falling out of the sky. A weak CME had hit Earth’s magnetic field, and the resulting G1-class (minor) storm was bringing them down:

Above: A Starlink satellite breaks up over Puerto Rico on Feb. 7, 2022. Credit: The Sociedad de Astronomia del Caribe

How could this happen? A new paper published in the research journal Space Weather provides the answer.

“Although it was only ‘minor,’ the storm pumped almost 1200 gigawatts of energy into Earth’s atmosphere,” explains lead author Tong Dang of the University of Science and Technology of China. “This extra energy heated Earth’s upper atmosphere and sharply increased aerodynamic drag on the satellites.”

SpaceX launched the satellites from Cape Canaveral on Feb. 3, 2022. Forty-nine (49) Starlinks were crowded inside the Falcon 9 rocket; less than a quarter would survive.

As was SpaceX’s practice at the time, the satellites were deployed at an altitude of 210 km–their first stop en route to an operational altitude near 600 km. In the satellite business, 210 km is considered to be low, barely above the atmosphere. SpaceX starts there in case any satellite malfunctions after launch. From 210 km, a “bad sat” can be easily de-orbited.

A little too easily, as it turns out.

Using a physics-based computer model named “TIEGCM,” Dang and colleagues simulated conditions during the storm. As geomagnetic energy heated Earth’s atmosphere, the air density at 210 km increased globally by 20% with “hot spots” as high as 60%. This movie shows what happened:

Starlink dodged the worst spots. “The satellites did not hit any of the 60% regions,” says Dang. “But that didn’t save them.” The weaker 20% enhancements were enough to bring down 38 out of 49 satellites.

To prevent a repeat, SpaceX has started launching to 320 km instead of 210 km. Earth’s atmosphere has to reach that much higher to drag the satellites back during a geomagnetic storm. Since the change, more than 1200 additional Starlink satellites have been launched on 24 rockets without incident.

There’s still danger, though. “Air density at 320 km is an order of magnitude less (compared to 210 km), but it’s not completely safe,” cautions Dang’s co-author Jiuhou Lei, also from the University of Science and Technology of China. “During an extreme geomagnetic storm, density could increase from 200% to 800% even at these higher altitudes.”

Extreme storms may be in the offing. Young Solar Cycle 25 is just getting started. The profusion of minor storms we are observing today will intensify in the years ahead especially as we approach Solar Max around 2025.

Recent Findings From Iceland’s Fagradalsfjall Eruptions Change What We Know About How Volcanoes Work (11 min)

Sunspot Complex

Sunspot Complex

https://www.spaceweather.com/

X-CLASS SOLAR FLARE (UPDATED) : A big and very active sunspot complex emerged over the sun’s northeastern limb yesterday. It has already produced an X1-class solar flare. NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the blast on April 17th at 03:34 UT:

A pulse of X-rays from the flare produced a strong shortwave radio blackout over southeast Asia and Australia: map. Mariners, aviators, and ham radio operators may have noticed unusual propagation effects at frequencies below 30 MHz.

Update: New images from SOHO confirm that the explosion hurled a CME into space: movie. The bulk of the CME will miss Earth, passing behind our planet in its orbit around the sun. However, there might be an Earth-directed component. NOAA analysts are looking into this now.

Meanwhile, get ready for more flares. This sunspot group has been active for more than a week, hurling CMEs and plumes of plasma into space from its location on the farside of the sun. Now it is turning to face Earth and shows no signs of slowing down.

X Class Solar Flare, Biggest Sunspots, Disaster Science | S0 News Apr.17.2022 (3 min)

Perspective

Perspective

This is about maintaining perspective. We are going through a period of rapid natural change. We need to be able to evaluate risk without  succumbing to the fear porn and doom mongers who are after click bait.   I always try to present videos that are realistic and based on science.

When is Space Weather Scary? & Top Science Updates | S0 News Nov.5.2021 (5 min)

Today’s Featured Links:

Heliospheric Current Sheet Ions: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2111.00954.pdf NOAA Space Weather Scales: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales… Pre-Quake Interplanetary Magnetic Field: https://naukaru.ru/en/storage/viewWin… Fluorine in Space: https://www.eso.org/public/news/eso2115/ Cleopatra’s Eye: https://www.nasa.gov/image-feature/go… Eskimo Nebula: https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/hu… NGC 2438: https://www.nasa.gov/image-feature/go…

La Palma Volcano Update: Reduced Seismicity & Tremor – Deflation Occurring as Ash and Steam Continue (10 min)

Activity at Cumbre Vieja Volcano La Palma continues at lower levels wit reduced seismicity. Latest quakes near La Palma volcano: past 24 hours https://bit.ly/3hLpMXk La Palma Quakes vs Depth Chart https://bit.ly/2XseTTk La Palma Volcanic tremor live chart https://bit.ly/3wq2Ovn LIVE: La Palma Volcano Eruption, the Canary Islands https://bit.ly/3vFWrDM Lava Tube Drone Footage https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DweXh… Evaluation of the threat of mega tsunami generation from postulated massive slope failures of island stratovolcanoes on La Palma, Canary Islands, and on the Island of Hawaii https://bit.ly/2ZUh8Qz Lava Progression Time-Lapse Map https://bit.ly/3wjjep2 IGN Daily Updates https://www.ign.es/web/resources/volc… Canary Islands Earthquake Map LIVE http://www.ign.es/web/resources/volca…

Nothing Burger?

Nothing Burger?

The La Palma eruption looks like it is stabilizing and the X-flare has nor resulted in spectacular auroras or Geo-storm.  So that is a good thing but we may see an uptick in seismic activity.

Northern Lights Defy Predictions; Large-Scale Display Fails to Materialize -La Palma Update -Iceland (8 min)

Northern lights defy predictions; large-scale display fails to materialize https://bit.ly/2ZDzi8M Solar Wind Chart https://d3k7gxzd368ul3.cloudfront.net… PLANETARY K-INDEX https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/pl… Geospace Prediction Center https://sol24.net/data/geospace_3_hou… GOES Proton Flux https://dpa-images.s3.amazonaws.com/g… Aurora Prediction Map http://bit.ly/2nO2A1y Vulcano volcano (Eolian Islands, Italy): unrest continues, increase in gas emissions https://bit.ly/2ZLaxYP La Palma volcano update: Volcanic lightning becoming more frequent https://bit.ly/3nDHNZO Latest quakes near La Palma volcano: past 24 hours https://bit.ly/3hLpMXk La Palma Quakes vs Depth Chart https://bit.ly/2XseTTk LIVE: La Palma Volcano Eruption, the Canary Islands https://bit.ly/3vFWrDM Quake-O-Meter https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/eart… Iceland Volcanoes https://en.vedur.is/photos/volcanoes/… Iceland Earthquake Live Map https://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-v…

Quake-O-Meter is excellent

It allows you to see if seismic activity is normal or increasing and gives you an explanation in plain English. Interpretation: There is no significant variation in the number of quakes that occurred during the past 3 days.

https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/earthquakes/stats.html

X-flare

X-flare

X-flare headed towards earth arrives next few days.

Major Solar Flare Measuring X1.0 from AR 2887 Just Occurred – CME Confirmed To Be Earth Directed! (3 min)

Sun fires off major solar flare from Earth-facing sunspot https://bit.ly/3bk8zAN GOES X-RAY FLUX https://dpa-images.s3.amazonaws.com/g… A major solar flare measuring X1.0 was just observed around AR 2887 at 15:35 UTC. The active region is directly facing Earth and should a CME be produced, it would almost certainly be directed towards our planet. https://www.solarham.net/ Subscribe To Oppenheimer Ranch Project – Our Main Channel! https://bit.ly/3loUQP8

X Class Solar Flare | Proton Radiation Storm, CME Earth-Directed (2 min)